DeMarco Murray claims to be back to 100% after dealing with a hamstring issue this spring. He claims he is ready for camp and is optimistic about his upcoming third season in the NFL. Murray is so optimistic about the 2013 season that he stated during an appearance on “First Take” and again via the Dallas Morning News, that he has the ability to rush for 2,000 yards this season. That is optimistic for a RB that has yet to rush for half that many yards in a single season. I’m sorry DeMarco, I don’t share your optimism.
In his first two NFL seasons, Murray rushed for 895 and 663 yards respectively, no where near 2,000 yards. Now, I am aware that Murray only played in 13 and 10 games in those two seasons, but in both seasons he was only averaging about 66 yards per game. Over a 16 game season he was still only on pace for 1,056 yards assuming he stays healthy all year…and that is a big assumption.
Murray certainly has significant talent, but here is why he absolutely will not rush for 2,000 yards this season.
Even Adrian Peterson wouldn’t be able to reach 2,000 yards in a just 10 or 11 games. In order to amass that type of yardage, you have to remain healthy all season, something DeMarco Murray has never done in his entire NFL career. In his rookie campaign, Murray lasted 13 games before he suffered a season ending ankle injury. In is sophomore season, 2012, Murray missed 6 games with a foot injury. Murray has certainly showed explosiveness in his career, but is inability to stay healthy is one of the main factors holding him back as an elite runner. The only way Murray hits 2,000 yards is if he counts the trips to the hospital and back.
Cowboys Pass First Offense
Tony Romo and the Cowboys are a pass first offense. the Cowboys throw the ball 3 times more often than they run the ball. There is no way Murray can rack up yardage if he is only getting 13-16 touches per game. The top running backs last year, Adrian Peterson, Arian Foster, Doug Martin, and Marshawn Lynch were averaging between 19-22 touches per game. Unless the Cowboys start running the ball consistently Demarco Murray won’t see north of 1,000 yards again for the third straight year.
On a team whose arrow is clearly pointing down, I’m not sold on DeMarco Murray and can’t recommend selecting him in your fantasy draft this year. His current ADP is 23, end of the second round. With other RBs like Stevan Ridley, MJD, and top tier WRs available, I won’t be wasting my pick on DeMarco Murray. Will you?